Corbyn’s Labour would win the upcoming general election — if only people under 40 voted, a new YouGov mega-poll has found.
The finding should not come as a surprise – the majority of Corbyn’s support comes from a young base. The finding illustrates the sharp generational divide that runs across British politics — Brexit being yet another example.
The reasons for the divide may well have something to do with the fact that young people have borne the brunt of many of the Tory austerity assaults — frankly this country has become so miserable under Tory rule that any alternative that doesn’t involve racism, xenophobia, and offers some form of a positive future looks appealing at this point.
The mega-poll was conducted by YouGov over a 2 and a half week period (2nd-20th April 2017) and questioned a sample of 13,000 voters. The poll found overwhelmingly that Labour would win the next election if only people between 18-40 voted. The finding is in stark contrast to the between 10, and 25 point lead that the Tories have overall — much of which is clearly down to the voting preference of people over 40.
Labour is particularly popular with women under 40, who favor Corbyn by 42% compared to May who received 27% — Farron received 12% support from this group. Men under 40 also back Labour — but by a much slimmer margin: 32% for Labour and 31% for the Connies — 18% back the Lib Dems.
Polling typically underestimates the voting intentions of young people, because they say they are unlikely to vote when compared to older people. Only 40% of people under 40 say they are likely to vote compared to 63% of the older people questioned for the mega-poll.
This raises an often overlooked question: if young people do decide to go to the polls in droves to support Corbyn — would Labour win?
The numbers of young people voting have declined steadily over the years due to apathy over the centrist two party neo-liberal system.
But, as I wrote about last week — this election does offer an actual choice between the neo-liberal xenophobic and racist nightmare presented by the Tories – and Labour under Corbyn — who wants to put an end to the neo-liberal disaster, austerity, poverty, privatization, etc, etc..
It is particularly telling those young women overwhelmingly support Corbyn — this may well be because women have disproportionately been affected by the Tories austerity knife, of course, this has a knock-on impact on children, families, education, etc.
Corbyn’s cabinet also contains a record number of female shadow cabinet ministers. A point rarely raised except to bash him with as is illustrated here, by that well-known bastion of the left: the Guardian.
Or maybe it’s just his sex-appeal?
The impact of the Tories policies has also been heavily felt — and this continues to be amplified — by young people.
Wage stagnation — cuts in working age benefits — university tuition fees through the roof that laden us with debt, for jobs which are either underpaid, insecure, non-existent — or reserved for the privileged few who can afford to undertake 6-month unpaid internships.
Millenials are the poorest generation since World War 2 — but, shhhhhhhh, everything’s fine! don’t ever mention this small fact.
The generational difference may also arise from the fact that younger people have far greater access to independent media, websites, such as the Canary, Evolve Politics, Another Angry Voice, Pride’s Purge, (my two-bit operation) and a whole range of other similar outlets have all enabled us to cut through the mainstream media’s nonsense. The older generations, of course, still rely on the BBC for news — we don’t, and we know that it’s clearly biased.
Older people, of course, are kept in a state of fear about the outside world — delusions presented to them as if they are facts by the mainstream media.
“More jobs than ever!” Theresa May announces while The BBC champions the line — forgetting to mention just how badly paid, and insecure these jobs are — forgetting to mention that wage stagnation, forgetting to mention the fact that nobody can save up for a house due to all this, forgetting to mention the ever-growing hours that people are working for less money, forgetting to mention any of this.
Forgetting to mention that fact that what’s counted as employment can mean anything in this day and age — from zero hours contracts to so-called self-employment.
And so older people — frightened by the propaganda against Corbyn from their trusted BBC — who recite the Tory line that Corbyn is some sort of threat to national security — sit there absorbing all of this nonsense.
They could never vote for Corbyn or Labour, could they? No — the BBC keeps telling them he’s a national security threat and the economy is doing just fine!
Why do all these young dreamers keep banging on about Corbyn? These idealistic idiots — do they not realize how silly they are being?
Why is it now considered to make us idealists, just because we don’t want to live in a country in which disabled people die at the hands of the Tories, and so-called welfare reform?
Why does it make us idealists to save the NHS?
The reason I’m ranting about this, is because I’ve already had an older person say this to me in response to this poll — idealistic?
If Corbyn represents idealism then that’s just a statement about how f*cked up your perception of the world is.
The mega-poll illustrates at least 2 important points:
- Young people need to register, campaign, and vote.
- We need to talk to older people more — as angry as it makes me that so many older people seem determined to vote against, not only our interests, but also their own — I honestly think this is mainly because they don’t realise just how bad things are right now — locked away as they are with the TV for company acting a fictional window to the world with nothing but the lovely trustworthy Huw Edwards and Laua K for company.
That’s unless we are talking about the boomer generation — who for some reason — almost always seem determined to be as selfish as one can imagine.
They are the only generation to have experienced growth throughout their lives, and yet still, they cannot even seem to make the most minor of efforts to help or share in their privilege. The neo-liberal generation if you will…
Of course, let’s not forget the fact that many older people do support Corbyn, or at least are against the Tories — I don’t wish to paint everybody with the same brush here, as polling obviously looks at majorities — not individuals.
I have held to the fact that as the older generation die off, and the younger ones start to take over it is quite likely that neo-liberal policy will start to be reversed, and killed off. The findings from the mega-poll support this claim, and my instinct.
In the meantime, though it seems as if we will all have to live under Tory rule — why? Because a bunch of Daily Mail reading, baby boomer, BBC loyalists all think we have to.
Thanks, old people — jeez if I only had 20 years left to live then I wouldn’t even care about who’s in government.
FFS — you know your pension’s safe! What you need to worry about are your children and grand children’s futures, the local hospital, social care — all of these things.
OF ALL OF WHICH — GUESS WHAT! — LABOUR POLICY IS FAR BETTER THAN THE TORIES!!!!!!!!!!!!!!